INS Arighat is reported to be inducted in 2021 thus strengthening India’s Nuclear Triad. The following article analyses the current status of a maritime leg of the triad and at what stage do our neighbours stand regarding this.
THE TWO TYPES OF NUCLEAR SUBMARINES
Nuclear Submarines can be classified into two categories, first the SSN (subsurface nuclear) and second, the SSBN (sub surface ballistic nuclear submarine). The SSNs are often said to be the nuclear attack submarines but the SSBNs carry the Submarine Launch Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs) and Submarine Launch Cruise Missiles (SLCMs). Even though nuclear energy is used for propulsion of both the submarines, the ability to carry nuclear warheads bolsters the second strike capability of the country in possession of SSBN thus creating better deterrence where the SSBN is used.
INDIAN NAVY AND MARITIME LEG OF NUCLEAR TRADE
The Nuclear Triad can be described as the capability of the country to launch nuclear missiles from air, land and sea. Until 2018, only the United States of America, United Kingdom, Russia, France and China (the P5 countries) possessed this capability. India joined the club in 2018 when the first subsurface ballistic nuclear (SSBN) INS Arihant completed the deterrence patrol.
INS Arihant. Source: The Print
Until now, India only has two Nuclear Submarines, INS Chakra II (Akula Class Russian SSN) and INS Arihant (Arihant Class Indigenous SSBN). The first SSN of Indian Navy INS Chakra I was leased for three years from Russia back in 1988. The SSN INS Chakra II was leased from Russia for ten years and was inducted in 2012. Both the countries agreed on a US $3 billion deal for INS Chakra III which would be acquired in 2025.
INS Chakra. Source: The Print
While INS Arihant was built indigenously in shipyards of Visakhapatnam, certain Russian assistance was involved. It was launched in 2016 and Nuclear Triad was achieved in 2018 with the formal announcement of Arihant's first deterrence patrol in 2018. It has been reported that the second SSBN, INS Arighat will be launched in 2021. Moreover, two more SSBNs namely S4 and S4 star are being built. It is often argued that for deterrence, the Naval Force would require four SSBNs, one in use, two in transits and the fourth one under repair and maintenance.
INS Arihant and Arighat are reported to have four missile tubes and carry displacement of 6000 tonnes. The next two SSBNs are reported to have eight tubes and relatively larger displacement.
SECOND STRIKE CAPABILITY AND NUCLEAR DETERRENCE
Commodore Anil Jai Singh highlighted how second-strike capability is the core of the nuclear deterrence. Indian Navy does not rely on the K15 missiles for their second-strike capabilities. In January 2020, K-4 missiles were successfully tested by DRDO (Defence Research and Development Organization) which has a range of 3,500 kilometres. It is reported that INS Arighat will be armed with twelve K-15 missiles and four K-4 missiles. Moreover, the K-5 missiles are as well under the pipeline which would have a range of 5000 kilometres. These long-range SLBMs would form the heart of the Naval leg of the Nuclear Triad.
MARITIME CAPABILITIES OF CHINA AND PAKISTAN
Unlike the US, UK and France, India is not part of any security alliance through which capabilities can be modernized. However, considering nuclear hostility with neighbours, New Delhi has to improve deterrence capabilities. In 2013, China started to send SSN submarines as part of their anti-piracy missions and Human Assistance and Disaster Relief operation in the Indian Ocean Region. With this realization, India not only has come a long way in improving its Nuclear Submarine Programme but also strengthening the anti-submarine warfare system.
Compared with Chinese capabilities, the maritime strand of Indian Triad stands relatively low. Chinese PLAN (People’s Liberation Army Navy) possesses around four Jin-class (Type 94) SSBNs which are armed with Ju Lang – 2 SLBMs (7000 – 7,500 km) and nine Shang Class (Type 95) SSNs.
Chinese JL 2 Missiles. Source: Global Security Organization
On the contrary, officially Pakistan stands as the odd man out amongst the three neighbouring Asian Nuclear Powers. It does not possess a sea leg of Nuclear Triad, but it has tested the Babur – III missiles, a sea-launched cruise missile (SLCM) of mere 450 km range. However, with installation on Khalid Class Submarine it provides Pakistan with sea deterrence. A rationale behind Pakistan developing short-range missiles seems to be that for the refraining country, it would be a small stipulated time to track the missile in the initial phases of flight. Once the missile enters the terminal phase, it would be the difficult or refraining country to eliminate the threat through defensive capabilities.
Babur III Missile
However, India’s Nuclear Submarine project comes with its difficulty and challenges. First, for the utilization of SSBNs, several attack submarines (SSNs) are required. Currently, only one in use i.e. INS Chakra II, optimum usage of second SSBN sounds unclear. To overcome this gap, under Project 75 Alpha, six SSNs were to be built indigenously by India. SSNs also bolster the command and communication of SSBNs and prove to be stealthy escorts for the same. With domestic production of these SSNs and SSBNs, the domestic defence industry will get a major boost as well as this project highlights the cooperation between the Ship Building Centre (Visakhapatnam), Bhabha Atomic Research Centre (BARC) and DRDO. BARC plays a major role in these projects because it will provide the technology required for installation of nuclear reactors in submarines.
Second, considering the conventional warfare and ‘Blue Navy’ role of the Indian Navy, a certain amount of differences can be felt regarding whether to focus on nuclear submarines or conventional SSKs. The conventional diesel submarines have a greater advantage because they are relatively harder to detect. Furthermore, Nuclear Submarines are always regarded to have better ability to stay submerged. To wedge this gap, Indian Ship Building is using the Air Independent Propulsion System, which can be found in the recent INS Vagir, a Scorpene-class submarine which was launched under Project 75I, which aimed to develop six scorpene class SSK submarines. However, Nuclear Submarines are better armed than conventional ones and are strategically important for deterrence.
Philip, S., Here, P., -, D., -, K., & -, J. (2020, January 20). India test fires K-4, a 3,500 km nuclear-capable missile meant for Arihant submarine. Retrieved December 26, 2020, from https://theprint.in/defence/india-test-fires-k-4-a-3500-km-nuclear-capable-missile-meant-for-arihant-submarine/351853/
Missile Defense Project, "JL-2 (Ju Lang-2/CSS-NX-14)," Missile Threat, Center for Strategic and International Studies, August 12, 2016, last modified October 7, 2019, https://missilethreat.csis.org/missile/jl-2/
Philip, S., Here, P., -, D., -, K., & -, J. (2020, December 16). Ballistic missile submarine Arighat in final stages of trials, to be commissioned early 2021. Retrieved December 26, 2020, from https://theprint.in/defence/ballistic-missile-submarine-arighat-in-final-stages-of-trials-to-be-commissioned-early-2021/567869/
Pillalamarri, A. (2015, February 18). Watch Out, China: India Is Building 6 Nuclear Attack Submarines. Retrieved December 26, 2020, from https://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/watch-out-china-india-building-6-nuclear-attack-submarines-12276
Singh, A. J. (2020, December 22). Credibilising India's strategic deterrence. Retrieved December 26, 2020, from https://www.financialexpress.com/defence/credibilising-indias-strategic-deterrence/2155017/?utm_source=whatsapp_web
Dutta, S., Here, P., -, S., -, M., & -, S. (2018, November 05). What is the nuclear triad that INS Arihant has helped India complete? Retrieved December 26, 2020, from https://theprint.in/defence/what-is-the-nuclear-triad-that-ins-arihant-has-helped-india-complete/145604/
Dutta, S., Here, P., -, D., -, K., & -, J. (2018, November 05). From ground, air and sea, now India can fire nuclear missiles from anywhere. Retrieved December 26, 2020, from https://theprint.in/defence/from-ground-air-and-sea-now-india-can-fire-nuclear-missiles-from-anywhere/145532/
Staff, S. (2020, September 6). After INS Arihant, India's Second Indigenous Nuclear Submarine INS Arighat Set To Enter Into Service By 2020 End. Retrieved December 26, 2020, from https://swarajyamag.com/insta/after-arihant-indias-second-indigenous-nuclear-powered-submarine-ins-arighat-set-to-enter-into-service-by-2020-end
Pubby, M., Here, P., -, D., -, K., & -, J. (2018, January 08). India's only nuclear-armed submarine INS Arihant is back in the water. Retrieved December 26, 2020, from https://theprint.in/report/indias-only-nuclear-armed-submarine-ins-arihant-is-back-in-the-wate r/27307/
Unnithan, S. (2018, November 05). From India Today magazine: A peek into India's top secret and costliest defence project, nuclear submarines. Retrieved December 26, 2020, from https://www.indiatoday.in/magazine/the-big-story/story/20171218-india-ballistic-missile-submarine-k-6-submarine-launched-drdo-1102085-2017-12-10
Dutta, S., Here, P., -, D., -, K., & -, J. (2018, November 06). INS Arihant is welcome, but India is far short of Chinese nuclear submarine capability. Retrieved December 26, 2020, from https://theprint.in/defence/ins-arihant-is-welcome-but-india-is-far-short-of-chinese-nuclear-submarine-capability/146142/